College Football Coaches To Win National Championships At Different Schools College Football – Only 8 Teams Now Vie for BCS Title Game, Sagarin Reveals a New View of the Rivals

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College Football – Only 8 Teams Now Vie for BCS Title Game, Sagarin Reveals a New View of the Rivals

After college football’s 12th weekend of play, eight teams are now hard to ignore – Louisiana Tech, Kansas, West Virginia, Missouri, Ohio State, Arizona State, Hawaii and Boise State. All but undefeated Kansas and Hawaii have just 1 loss.

Sunday night’s (11-18-07) new AP Top 25 Poll showed LSU 1st, Kansas 2nd, Missouri 3rd, West Virginia 4th, Ohio State 5th, Arizona State 7th, Hawaii 14th and Boise State 17th.

Monday’s (11-19-07) new BCS standings had LSU 1st, Kansas 2nd, West Virginia 3rd, Missouri 4th, Ohio State 5th, Arizona State 6th, Hawaii 15th and Boise State 19th.

The AP poll of sportswriters and broadcasters has no bearing on who will play in the national championship game.

The BCS standings are determined by participants based on a complex formula between 3 factors: the USA TODAY Coaches Poll, the Harris Interactive College Football Poll and an average of 6 computer rankings including the Sagarin Rating. Each factor is calculated as one-third of a team’s total BCS score in the BCS standings.

It all sounds very boring, and it is, but don’t underestimate the importance of the BCS standings because millions of dollars are at stake. The teams and conferences participating in the BCS National Championship Game on January 8, 2008 in New Orleans aren’t necessarily paying off big.

There are also 4 other official BCS bowl games: the Sugar Bowl on January 1, 2008, the Rose Bowl on January 1, 2008, the Fiesta Bowl on January 2, 2008, and the Orange Bowl on January 3, 2008.

The total payout for the 5 BCS games this year will be $85 million and the total economic impact on the 5 hosting cities is estimated to exceed $1.2 billion.

The bottom line is that these games will feature at least 10 teams from the top BCS positions. The champions of the 6 major NCAA conferences – Atlantic Coast, Big East, Big 10, Big 12, Pacific 10 (Pac 10) and Southeastern Conference (SEC) – are guaranteed a spot in 1 of 5 BCS games. Other slots are up for grabs under a complicated set of qualifications.

One of those qualifications is that teams outside the 6 major conferences automatically qualify for the top 12 of the final BCS standings.

With this salient fact, you can better understand why Hawaii (ranked 15th) and Boise State (ranked 19th) are so upset about their current BCS standings—despite Hawaii’s 10-0 record and Boise State’s 10-1 record, they’re both tops. Not in 12. Vikram.

Western Athletic Conference commissioner Carl Benson spent much of the weekend trying to convince “everyone and his dog spot” about Hawaii’s big win against Nevada, currently ranked Sagarin 97th out of 119 Division 1A schools. Hawaii eventually won 28–26 on a 45-yard field goal with 11 seconds left.

No one was listening or believing a word Benson was saying when looking at the polls and BCS standings.

Looking at the 8 teams left in the hunt for a spot in the BCS National Championship Game, Hawaii and Boise State are the bit players that have no chance. Thankfully, the two collide this weekend when Boise State travels to Hawaii for a showdown.

After the game, one team will rise in the BCS standings and the other will likely fall out of sight and out of mind.

Hawaii and Boise State are both great teams with great records, and both will get more attention when they start playing some decent competition. Sagarin rates Hawai’i’s schedule (quality of its opponents) 153rd and Boise State 122nd.

Considering there are only 119 Division 1A teams, you better believe these two teams have feasted on inferior talent at best and deserve what they get.

Of the remaining 6 teams, including Hawaii and Boise State, who are either undefeated with just 1 loss, at least 5 of the 6 teams have played well in their quest to stay in the national title game.

Arizona State (ranked 6th by the BCS at 9-1) is the No. 26 best seed in the schedule rating. LSU (ranked 1st by BCS at 10-1) 27th, West Virginia (ranked 3rd by BCS at 9-1) 42nd, Missouri (ranked 4th by BCS at 10-1) 47th, Ohio State (ranked 11 -1 at 5th by the BCS) is 53rd, and Kansas (ranked second by the BCS at 11-0) is 101st among 119 Division 1A schools.

Is Kansas playing a weak schedule to put together 11 straight wins? yes Kansas will play and win the BCS National Championship Game, but there is no mistaking that Kansas has played an inferior schedule compared to the BCS Tournament.

Should Hawaii and Boise State be in the BCS? Probably not given their level of competition. Is Kansas overrated? Probably. If all three win against better competition, they can make me more of a believer.

So I guess I’m asking the question: Who has played the toughest schedule so far this season? Try the Washington Huskies, who are 3-7 on the year.

I seriously doubt that Kansas, Hawaii or Boise State would have all set the record if Ohio State, UCLA, Southern California, Arizona State and Oregon – played in their primes like Washington.

That’s why Washington is ranked No. 1 nationally in terms of schedule, and Kansas is 101st, Boise State is 122nd and Hawaii is 153rd.

Kansas faces Missouri in a Big 12 North Division showdown this Saturday. The winner will play either Oklahoma or Texas from the South Division for the Big 12 title and a BCS berth somewhere.

Copyright © 2007 Ed Bagley

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