Did The Experts Pick Week 10 Nfl Football Winners Yet Do Football Pools Systems Really Help to Win the Football Pools?

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Do Football Pools Systems Really Help to Win the Football Pools?

Football pool systems only really work if they are based on sound statistical analysis. Why do systems work? Simply, because the performance of football teams is not random in the long run – teams actually play extensively to prepare.

There are two parts to solving the problem of how to win football pool. The first is statistical analysis – the designer of the system will look at past results of teams and matches and then create a mathematical model that explains the results with a reasonable degree of accuracy and enables predictions to be made based on that.

Actual accuracy should only be slightly better than random. In roulette, the casino makes money on a 2-3% edge in the long run. In football pool, this difference is good enough for a long time, but we expect to occasionally do better and win. Of course, we want to win enough to cover the stakes on the weeks we don’t win, to make it a worthwhile exercise.

Another part of the football pool problem is coverage. It is not economical to cover every possible combination on a 49 match coupon – there are 450 million ways for any eight score draw match. Of course, the coupon given later may not even have an eight score draw result. That’s where ‘plan’ and ‘params’ come in. These are ways to cover 20 picks on a coupon in such a way that when there are 12-15 score draw results on a given coupon, we can get reasonable. Expect to win if we pick six or eight of those draws. Simply put, the scheme can cover 20 selections in such a way that 25,000 possible 8 matches are added. This reduces the chances significantly.

There are many systems available. Some are described in books available, for example, from Amazon; Others are downloadable online; Spreadsheets are available; is software. There are books that specialize in ‘params’ and even software that does so. So, an option for those who are willing to dig around.

However, the entire process is based on accurate prediction of match results. To do that (assuming you can’t afford to invest thousands of pounds or dollars on a regular basis), then, after buying the system, the user has to work to maintain basic data based analysis. There are organizations that offer tips and comprehensive sets of match data and predictions available online (these are usually subscription only). If a pool punter doesn’t want to subscribe, it takes hours of work to create each entry.

A final important aspect is that persistence is key to success in this arena – a week in which an entry was dropped would probably have been a winner. After all, we are working on a statistical basis.

Finally, football pool systems can work if they are well designed and used correctly (ie working on the numbers and not letting picks affect the outcome of potential matches). If you are considering a system, any reputable system should be built to demonstrate a successful record of results.

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