Do You Get Money Out Of Doing A Football Pool How To Find Elusive Football Draws

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How To Find Elusive Football Draws

Football draw games – hard to find them, aren’t they? Eight of these UK triple chance football pools are key to winning, but you might want to find two or three in the Australian, German, Spanish or Italian leagues for special fixed odds bets or for a range of trebles. Typically, there will be 49 matches on league weekends and coupons in a UK football season, with an average of 9 scoring football draws, and of these, many would have been predicted using a good prediction system. No-score football averages 4-5 per week.

How do we find them?

Well, during the British league season, most teams play close to ‘form’, but when ‘giant killing’ happens so often, cup matches are like a lottery and best avoided if you’re serious about winning the football pool. So, to begin with, we only bet when the odds are optimal and that means league games. In fact, we don’t bet when ‘form’ is likely to be compromised – eg on Boxing Day.

With a good football draw prediction system, you’ll be able to keep track of form and eliminate those matches that have some home wins – typically 22 home wins, many of which will be easy to predict. As for away wins, it’s hard to say and an average of 13-14 wins per coupon per week.

So, let’s say we can predict 90% home wins – that’s roughly 19 matches, and maybe 50% away wins – another 7 matches. Therefore, we can predict 26 matches (home and away) with a reliable prediction system, entirely from coupons. That leaves 23 matches, from which we have to find 8 football draws.

Now, with a good plan or perm, which combines maybe 17 or 18 predictions – some plans even offer coverage of 24 matches, you can see that the odds of getting 8 football draws in a row are greatly increased. Of course, using a plan means you sacrifice perfection to get more coverage (there are 451 million ways to pick 8 football draws from 49 matches). You might not hit the jackpot, but you’ll get frequent low key wins and should be able to roll over your profits.

So, you can see that an efficient football draw prediction system is essential.

What are the key aspects of a good football draw prediction system?

Well, apart from knowing when to take part and when to avoid betting and throwing away your money, you need to be able to analyze the form and come up with football draw predictions. How far back should we go when it’s ready? How would a team promoted from the Championship fare in the Premier League (and vice versa?)

Use statistics selectively

My view is that the first few weeks of the season are when we don’t get a reliable picture of form in the league division and it takes a few weeks for a pattern to emerge. Some experts will look at long-term patterns and suggest that some teams specialize in home wins, while others have better (or worse) away records. It may be useful in the final analysis, but I don’t think of things like that when I’m looking for a football draw game. So, how far back should we look? Certainly not last season – I work with less than half a dozen match history (league games only).

Rate the teams

Then, you need to have a consistent assessment of the team’s performance – and that needs to take into account the strength of the opposition. It gives you a list of teams and performance ratings.

Now you need to see the upcoming matches and compare the ratings of the teams. Adjust for home advantage and any other adjustments you see fit (new player or manager, injury to key player?). Then, sort the list by possible match results. At one end of the list will be the most likely home wins. At the other end would be the most likely away wins. Of interest will be the middle – where we find the elusive football draw block.

Find the juice

Then, you take the middle of the matches and decide how much you will cover using your perm or plan, depending on your budget. With 11-14 football draws in the results you can reasonably expect to win that week.

If we can find 60% draws when there are 13 or 14 in the results, we will have 8 – 9 draws. A good staking plan will increase your chances of getting your football drawn in a row.

It’s important to note that this is a percentage approach, and all you want to do is get the odds in your favor and find the most elusive football draws. A few wins during the season should give you an advantage and as always, the devil is in the details!

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