E Relationship Between Sport Results And Valuation Of Football Club UEFA Champions League Group Stage

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UEFA Champions League Group Stage

Summer is over. This means only one thing: the Champions League is back. This year’s joint favorites Barcelona and Chelsea have become bitter rivals in the tournament. With them being drawn into the same group in the early stages of the tournament, the competition is sure to get even tougher. The format is as follows: 32 teams are divided into eight groups of four, in the group stage. The group winners and runners-up advance to the knockout stages, the eight third-placed teams advance to the third round of the UEFA Cup and the eight fourth-placed teams are eliminated. Here is an overview of all the groups we expect to win each group.

Group A: Barcelona (-118), Chelsea (+125), Werder Bremen (15/1), Levski Sofia (250/1)

Perhaps the Chelsea-Barcelona rivalry will not be as intense in this early stage. Both the teams will advance from the group and there is a good chance that they will meet again in the later stages of the tournament. Chelsea have looked remarkably shaky this year. Their previously impenetrable defenses seem a little more relaxed. That would be bad for the Blues. But unlike last few years, with two Premiership titles under his belt, Jose Mourinho’s clear aim this season is to win the Champions League. Still, we have to side with Barcelona here. They are goal scoring machines and should demolish Bremen and Levski and are capable of scoring against Chelsea. Right on the money, they are worth backing to win this group.

Group B: Bayern Munich (+125), Inter Milan (+163), Sporting Lisbon (6/1), Spartak Moscow (40/1)

Inter have a great price here and it’s worth supporting. They have added strength, quality and depth to their squad and were awarded last year’s Scudetto in Serie A, late in the Calciopoli scandal. Sporting Lisbon are no pushovers, but Inter should get past them. There is one small concern though. Bayern Munich is the type of team that can run up the score against weaker opponents like Spartak Moscow. If Bayern and Inter are on equal points, Bayern can win the group on goal difference.

Group C: Liverpool (-161), PSV Eindhoven (+450), Bordeaux (5/1), Galatasaray (10/1)

Although they are the underdogs, it is hard to look past Liverpool in this group. They are a well organized side and won the CL trophy two years ago. Manager Rafa Benitez is a veteran of the European competition and should navigate his team through this group with ease. PSV are a shadow of the team they were last season. There’s a good chance they won’t finish in the top two of the Dutch league, let alone replicate their above-average Champions League form in recent years. Bordeaux and Galatasaray are second tier clubs in the competition.

Group D: Valencia (-125), Roma (+150), Shakhtar Donetsk (20/1), Olympiakos (29/1)

It is difficult to understand why the Roma are underdogs in this group. They are favored to win this year’s mild Italian league. Their team is very strong this season on paper and according to the results so far in Serie A. But in this group, the Romans will have to face the Spanish competition. Valencia have a disciplined and experienced Champions League squad. They are deadly on the counter-attack and stifle their opponents’ offense. It looks like a coin flip between Roma and Valencia, so we’ll take the Italians head-to-head. Put on Olympiakos and pay attention. They won’t win this group, but, like many Greek teams, they can be dangerous in their home games.

Group E: Lyon (-125), Real Madrid (+163), Steaua Bucharest (10/1), Dynamo Kyiv (50/1)

No team benefited from Juventus’ collapse more than Real Madrid. The Spanish giants picked up a handful of other Galacticos and one of the world’s top managers, Fabio Capello. They are serious contenders for both the La Liga and Champions League titles this year. But they will have to pass their shooting in this tournament: Lyon. The French side is perennially underestimated by bookies despite their excellent performances in European competition. We’ll happily back them again to win this group and possibly the whole thing.

Group F: Manchester United (-275), Benfica (+650), Celtic (13/1), FC Copenhagen (50/1)

Man Utd could not have asked for a more favorable draw. But they will need luck to get any further than this stage. At this small price, it’s not worth betting on the Red Devils to win the group. Copenhagen are a dangerous team, having knocked Ajax out of the competition. They cost a lot to win the group and they cost very little. Benfica are as strong as ever in Portugal and experienced in the Champions League. They should claim number two.

Group G: Arsenal (-161), Hamburg (9/1), Porto (9/1), CSKA Moscow (10/1)

Arsenal were the surprise team of the Champions League last year, reaching the final and defying expectations with every match. This year they seem to have grown even more. The Gunners are yet to settle into their new Emirates Stadium. The squad looks noticeably restless and will need more time to gel. In light of the above, others are worth looking at. CSKA are hugely priced at 10/1 and the 2005 UEFA Cup champions should be backed to win this group. Russia is a scary place for visiting teams and the Muscovites are able to claim results on their travels.

Group H: AC Milan (-333), Lille (6/1), AEK Athens (25/1), Anderlecht (33/1)

Milan should sail through this group with relative ease. They are capable of destroying any team in the world and opponents like Lille, AEK and Anderlecht are rarely a dangerous challenge. Lille are strong in France and might be able to hold Milan to a draw at home. As usual, Greek side AEK will also be tough at home, but they are desperate in their travels. Anderlecht is not eligible for this tournament. Get Milan at such a low price.

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